Elevated plasma YKL-40 and risk of infectious disease: a prospective study of 94665 individuals from the general population.

OBJECTIVES: YKL-40 is an acute phase protein elevated in patients with infectious and inflammatory diseases. We tested the hypothesis that baseline elevated YKL-40 is associated with increased risk of future infectious disease in healthy individuals in the general population. METHODS: We prospectively followed 94 665 individuals from the Danish general population for up to 23 years and analysed for plasma YKL-40 levels (n = 21 584) and CHI3L1 rs4950928 genotype (n = 94 184). Endpoints were any infection, bacterial pneumonia, urinary tract infection, skin infection, sepsis, diarrhoeal disease, and other infections. RESULTS: For YKL-40 percentile category 91-100% versus 0-33%, the multifactorially and C-reactive protein (CRP) adjusted hazard ratios were 1.71 (95% confidence interval 1.50-1.96; p 4 × 10-14) for any infection, 1.97 (1.64-2.37; p 4 × 10-13) for bacterial pneumonia, 1.62 (1.24-2.11; p 0.002) for urinary tract infection, 1.74 (1.31-2.32; p 2 × 10-4) for skin infection, 1.76 (1.25-2.46; p 0.004) for sepsis, 1.90 (1.29-2.78; p 0.002) for diarrhoeal disease and 2.71 (1.38-5.35; p 0.01) for other infections. In multifactorially and CRP-adjusted models, a twofold increase in YKL-40 was associated with increased risk of all infectious disease endpoints. Mendelian randomization did not support causality, as CHI3L1 rs4950928 was associated with 94% and 190% higher YKL-40 levels (for CG and CC versus GG genotype), but not with increased risk of any infectious disease endpoint. DISCUSSION: Baseline elevated plasma YKL-40 was not a cause but a strong marker of increased risk of future infectious diseases in individuals in the general population.

Total circulating cell-free DNA as a prognostic biomarker in metastatic colorectal cancer before first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is a heterogeneous disease where prognosis is dependent both on tumor biology and host factors. Total circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has shown to harbor prognostic information in mCRC, although less is known about the biological correlates of cfDNA levels in this patient group. The primary objective was to evaluate the prognostic value of pretreatment cfDNA in patients receiving the first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy for mCRC, by using a predefined upper limit of normal (ULN) from a cohort of presumed healthy individuals. The secondary objective was to model cfDNA levels as a function of predefined tumor and host factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective post hoc study based on a prospective multicenter phase III trial, the NORDIC-VII study. DNA was purified from 547 plasma samples and cfDNA quantified by a droplet digital PCR assay (B2M, PPIA) with controls for lymphocyte contamination. Main clinical end point was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: cfDNA was quantified in 493 patients, 54 were excluded mainly due to lymphocyte contamination. Median cfDNA level was 7673 alleles/ml (1050-1 645 000) for B2M and 5959 alleles/ml (555-854 167) for PPIA. High cfDNA levels were associated with impaired outcome; median OS of 16.6 months for levels above ULN and 25.9 months for levels below ULN (hazard ratio = 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.51-2.21, P < 0.001). The result was confirmed in multivariate OS analysis adjusting for established clinicopathological characteristics. A linear regression model predicted cfDNA levels from sum of longest tumor diameters by RECIST, the presence of liver metastases and systemic inflammatory response as measured by interleukin 6 (F(6, 357) = 62.7, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: cfDNA holds promise as a minimally invasive and clinically relevant prognostic biomarker in mCRC before initiating first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy and may be a complex entity associated with tumor burden, liver metastases and systemic inflammatory response. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00145314.

Germline BRCA2 K3326X and CHEK2 I157T mutations increase risk for sporadic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Rare truncating BRCA2 K3326X (rs11571833) and pathogenic CHEK2 I157T (rs17879961) variants have previously been implicated in familial pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but not in sporadic cases. The effect of both mutations in important DNA repair genes on sporadic PDAC risk may shed light on the genetic architecture of this disease. Both mutations were genotyped in germline DNA from 2,935 sporadic PDAC cases and 5,626 control subjects within the PANcreatic Disease ReseArch (PANDoRA) consortium. Risk estimates were evaluated using multivariate unconditional logistic regression with adjustment for possible confounders such as sex, age and country of origin. Statistical analyses were two-sided with p values <0.05 considered significant. K3326X and I157T were associated with increased risk of developing sporadic PDAC (odds ratio (ORdom ) = 1.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.26-2.52, p = 1.19 × 10-3 and ORdom = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.15-2.63, p = 8.57 × 10-3 , respectively). Neither mutation was significantly associated with risk of developing early-onset PDAC. This retrospective study demonstrates novel risk estimates of K3326X and I157T in sporadic PDAC which suggest that upon validation and in combination with other established genetic and non-genetic risk factors, these mutations may be used to improve pancreatic cancer risk assessment in European populations. Identification of carriers of these risk alleles as high-risk groups may also facilitate screening or prevention strategies for such individuals, regardless of family history.

Predictive value of a multi-biomarker disease activity score for clinical remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: a post-hoc study of the OPERA trial.

OBJECTIVES: Measurement of serum biomarkers at disease onset may improve prediction of disease course in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We evaluated the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score and early changes in MBDA score for prediction of 28-joint Disease Activity Score based on C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) remission and radiographic progression in the double-blinded OPERA trial. METHOD: Treatment-naïve RA patients (N = 180) with moderate or high DAS28 were randomized to methotrexate (MTX) + adalimumab (n = 89) or MTX + placebo (n = 91) in combination with glucocorticoid injection into swollen joints. X-rays of hands and feet were evaluated at months 0 and 12 (n = 164) by the total Sharp van der Heijde score (TSS). The smallest detectable change (1.8 TSS units) defined radiographic progression (∆TSS ≥ 2). Clinical remission (DAS28-CRP < 2.6) was assessed at baseline and 6 months. MBDA score was determined at 0 and 3 months and tested in a multivariable logistic regression model for predicting DAS28 remission at 6 months and radiographic progression at 1 year. RESULTS: Baseline MBDA score was independently associated with radiographic progression at 1 year [odds ratio (OR) = 1.03/unit, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01-1.06], and changes in MBDA score from baseline to 3 months with clinical remission at 6 months [OR = 0.98/unit, 95% CI 0.96-1.00). In anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP)-positive patients, 35 of 89 with high MBDA score (> 44) showed radiographic progression (PPV = 39%), compared with 0 of 15 patients (NPV = 100%) with low/moderate MBDA score (≤ 44) (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Early changes in MBDA score were associated with clinical remission based on DAS28-CRP at 6 months. In anti-CCP-positive patients, a non-high baseline MBDA score (≤ 44) had a clinical value by predicting very low risk of radiographic progression at 12 months.

Methodological development and biological observations of cell free DNA with a simple direct fluorescent assay in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Cell free DNA (cfDNA) has shown promising utility as prognostic biomarker for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), with an ongoing need to optimize and validate the laboratory methodology. Here, we report our optimization and validation of a direct fluorescent assay and display the potential utility in patients with colorectal cancer. METHODS: Plasma cfDNA was analyzed by a direct fluorescent assay (DFA) and compared to quantification by droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). For clinical validation, baseline blood samples were available for a total of 273 patients from six different Nordic trials, covering patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (n = 176, cohorts A + B), liver limited metastatic CRC (n = 75C + D) and wide spread metastatic CRC (n = 22 E + F). RESULTS: Validating the DFA analysis with ddPCR revealed a strong correlation with an R2 of 0.81. For the clinical cohorts, the levels of cfDNA were: 0.8 ng/uL (95%CI 0.75-0.83) (A + B), 0.93 ng/uL (95%CI 0.86-1.02) (C + D) and 1.2 ng/uL (95%CI 0.85-1.47) (E + F), respectively (p < 0.01). All cohorts of colorectal cancer had higher levels of cell free DNA than healthy individuals (n = 94) (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Analysis of cell free DNA by a direct fluorescent assay could be an attractive laboratory option for a rapid inexpensive quantification of cell free DNA.

Circulating serum interleukin-6, serum chitinase-3-like protein-1, and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor are not predictive for remission and radiographic progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: post-hoc explorative and validation studies based on the CIMESTRA and OPERA trials.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), serum chitinase-3-like protein-1 (YKL-40), and plasma vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) as measures of disease activity and predictors of clinical remission and radiographic progression in two early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) randomized controlled trials (RCTs). METHOD: Treatment-naïve patients with early RA (< 6 months' duration) and active disease, participating in two investigator-initiated RCTs, were treated according to a predefined treat-to-target algorithm aiming at inflammatory control, using methotrexate (MTX) + cyclosporine versus MTX + placebo (CIMESTRA study, n = 150, 5 year follow-up) or MTX + adalimumab versus MTX + placebo (OPERA study, n = 180, 2 year follow-up). The 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28) and conventional radiography [bilateral hands and feet at baseline, 2 years and 5 years (only CIMESTRA)] were obtained at baseline and during follow-up. Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were measured in baseline blood samples and during follow-up. Hypotheses regarding the biomarkers' relation with DAS28 and ability to predict clinical remission (DAS28 < 2.6) and radiographic progression (change in total Sharp van der Heijde score ≥ 2) were generated in CIMESTRA and validated in OPERA, by Spearman's correlation and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Baseline IL-6, YKL-40, and VEGF correlated significantly with DAS28 in CIMESTRA (r = 0.50, r = 0.36, r = 0.36, respectively, all p < 0.01) and these results were confirmed in OPERA patients (r = 0.52, p < 0.01; r = 0.18, p = 0.01; r = 0.23, p = 0.002, respectively). None of the biomarkers (absolute values or change) was predictive of clinical remission or radiographic progression at 2 or 5 years in either study. CONCLUSION: Serum IL-6, serum YKL-40, and plasma VEGF were significantly correlated with DAS28 at baseline, but did not have consistent predictive value for clinical remission or radiographic progression in two early RA RCTs.

Circulating cell-free DNA as predictor of treatment failure after neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy before surgery in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Background: Treatment of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is based on a combination of chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) and surgery. The rate of distant recurrences remains over 25%. Circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in plasma is a mixture of normal and cancer-specific DNA segments and is a promising biomarker in patients with colorectal cancer. The aim of our study was to investigate plasma cfDNA as a prognostic marker for outcome in patients with LARC treated with neoadjuvant CRT and surgery. Patients and methods: In total, 123 patients with LARC were included in 2 biomarker studies. Patients were treated with neoadjuvant CRT before TME surgery. Fifty-two (42%) of the patients received induction chemotherapy with capecitabine + oxaliplatin. Total cfDNA was measured by direct fluorescent assay in EDTA plasma samples obtained at baseline, after induction chemotherapy, and after CRT. Serial samples 5 years after surgery were collected in 51 patients (41%). Results: Median follow-up was 55 months. Distant or local recurrence was seen in 30.9% of the patients. Patients with baseline cfDNA levels above the 75th quartile had a higher risk of local or distant recurrence and shorter time to recurrence compared with patients with plasma cfDNA below the 75th percentile (HR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.3-4.8, P = 0.007). The same applied to disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 2.43, 95% CI: 1.27-4.7, P = 0.015). In multivariate analysis, a high cfDNA level was significantly associated with time to progression and DFS. During follow-up, the association remained significant regardless of time point for sample analysis. Conclusion: We have demonstrated an association between a high baseline plasma level of cfDNA and increased risk of recurrence, shorter time to recurrence, and shorter DFS in patients with LARC. Consequently, cfDNA could potentially improve pre- and post-treatment risk assessment and facilitate individualized therapy for patients with LARC.

The effect of geriatric intervention in frail elderly patients receiving chemotherapy for colorectal cancer: a randomized trial (GERICO).

BACKGROUND: Better surgical techniques, chemotherapy and biological therapy have improved survival in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), most markedly in younger patients. About half of patients over 70 years receive dose reductions or early treatment discontinuation of the planned adjuvant or first-line treatment due to side effects. The Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) is a multidisciplinary evaluation of an elderly individual's health status. This assessment in older patients with cancer can predict survival, chemotherapy toxicity and morbidity. METHODS: This randomized phase II trial (GERICO) is designed to investigate whether comprehensive geriatric assessment and intervention before and during treatment with chemotherapy in frail elderly patients with stages II-IV CRC will increase the number of patients completing chemotherapy. All patients ≥70 years in whom chemotherapy for CRC is planned to start at Herlev and Gentofte Hospital are screened for frailty using the G8 questionnaire at the first visit to the outpatient clinic. The G8 questionnaire is a multi-domain screening tool to identify frail or vulnerable patients at risk of increased toxicity and morbidity. Frail patients are offered inclusion and are then randomized to two groups (the intervention group and the control group). Patients in the intervention group receive a full geriatric assessment of comorbidity, medication, psycho-cognitive function, physical, functional and nutrition status, and interventions are undertaken on identified health issues. Simultaneously, they are treated for their cancer according to international guidelines. Patients in the control group receive the same chemotherapy regimens and standard of care. Primary outcome is number of patients completing scheduled chemotherapy at starting dose. Secondary outcomes are dose reductions, treatment delays, toxicity, time to recurrence, survival, cancer-related mortality and quality of life. DISCUSSION: This ongoing trial is one of the first to evaluate the effect of geriatric intervention in frail elderly patients with CRC. The trial will provide new and valuable knowledge about whether it is beneficial for the elderly patient undergoing chemotherapy to be treated simultaneously by a geriatrician. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02748811 . The trial was registered retrospectively; registration date 04/28/2016.

Efficacy and toxicity of adjuvant chemotherapy in elderly patients with colorectal cancer: the ACCORE study.

BACKGROUND: Elderly patients with primary colorectal cancer (CRC) are less frequently treated with adjuvant chemotherapy than younger patients due to concerns regarding toxicity and efficiency. We investigated how age, performance status (PS) and comorbidity influence treatment outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective single-centre study of 529 patients with stages II-III CRC treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (5-fluorouracil/capecitabine+/÷oxaliplatin) from 2001 to 2011 at Herlev Hospital, Denmark. Baseline characteristics, chemotherapy and outcome were analysed with respect to age after adjusting for PS and comorbidity. RESULTS: Elderly patients (>70 years) had significantly more comorbidity (p<0.001) and poorer PS (p=0.001) than younger patients. Elderly were more frequently treated with single-agent therapy (p=0.001) and at lower initial dose (p<0.001). There was no age-dependent difference in 3-year disease-free survival (DFS; HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.47, p=0.59), in grade 3-5 toxicity (29% vs 28%, p=0.86) or in 10-year CRC mortality (28%, HR 1.07, p=0.71). In elderly patients, a reduction in chemotherapy dose intensity compared with full dose had no impact on DFS or CRC mortality. Elderly patients receiving <50% of planned cycles had shorter DFS (HR=1.78, p=0.020) and higher CRC mortality (HR=2.17, p=0.027) than elderly receiving all cycles. Poor PS in younger and elderly patients was related to shorter DFS (HR=1.95, p=0.002; HR=1.6, p=0.035, respectively) and overall survival (OS; HR=2.28, p<0.001; HR=2.03, p=0.002). Comorbidity in younger patients was significantly related to shorter DFS (HR 2.72, p<0.001), OS (HR 3.16, p<0.001) and higher CRC mortality (HR 2.70, p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Choice of regimen, primary dose reduction and given dose intensity in patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy for CRC were highly dependent on age. However, age had no impact on DFS and CRC mortality. Comorbidity in younger patients and PS in all patients were associated with shorter DFS and higher CRC mortality.

YKL-40 in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation after AML and myelodysplastic syndrome.

YKL-40, also called chitinase-3-like-1 protein, is an inflammatory biomarker that has been associated with disease severity in inflammatory and malignant diseases, including AML, multiple myeloma and lymphomas. The objective of the current study was to assess the prognostic value of pretransplant recipient and donor plasma YKL-40 concentrations in patients with AML (n=624) or myelodysplastic syndrome (n=157) treated with allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). In recipients, the plasma YKL-40 concentrations were increased when the HCT-comorbidity index was ⩾5 (P=0.028). There were no significant associations between plasma YKL-40 concentrations in recipients and any outcome measures. In donors with YKL-40 plasma concentrations above the age-adjusted 95th percentile, a trend toward increased grade II-IV acute GvHD in recipients was observed (adjusted hazard ratio 1.39 (95% confidence interval 1.00-1.94), P=0.050), with no significant associations with overall survival, treatment-related mortality or relapse. In conclusion, our study shows that YKL-40 does not aid risk stratification of patients undergoing allogeneic HCT, but suggests that YKL-40 may aid donor selection when multiple, otherwise equal, donors are available.

Role of inflammatory marker YKL-40 in the diagnosis, prognosis and cause of cardiovascular and liver diseases.

This review summarizes present evidence for the role of YKL-40 in the diagnosis, prognosis and cause of cardiovascular and alcoholic liver disease. The question of whether YKL-40 is merely a marker or a causal factor in the development of cardiovascular and liver disease is addressed, with emphasis on the Mendelian randomization design. The Mendelian randomization approach uses genetic variants associated with lifelong high plasma YKL-40 levels that are largely unconfounded and not prone to reverse causation. Thus, the approach mimics a controlled double-blind randomized trial, but it uses genetic variants rather than a drug and placebo, and like a blinded trial, it allows inference about causality. Moreover, the review also covers background on the molecular biology and functions of YKL-40, YKL-40 levels in healthy individuals and reference range, and the role of YKL-40 as a biomarker of cardiovascular and alcoholic liver disease. YKL-40 is a plasma protein named after its three N-terminal amino acids, Y (tyrosine), K (lysine) and L (leucine), and its molecular weight of 40 kDa. It is produced by local inflammatory cells in inflamed tissues, such as lipid-laden macrophages inside the vessel wall and perhaps also hepatic stellate cells. Observational studies show that plasma YKL-40 levels are elevated in patients with cardiovascular and liver disease and are associated with disease severity and prognosis. Furthermore, elevated plasma YKL-40 levels in apparently healthy individuals are associated with a 2-fold increased risk of future ischemic stroke and venous thromboembolism, but not with myocardial infarction, suggesting that YKL-40 could play a role in the formation of embolisms rather than atherosclerosis per se. Further, elevated YKL-40 levels combined with excessive alcohol consumption are associated with 10-years risk of alcoholic liver cirrhosis of up to 7%, suggesting that YKL-40 can be used as a strong noninvasive marker of predicting alcoholic liver cirrhosis. Importantly, in Mendelian randomization studies, genetically elevated plasma YKL-40 levels were not associated with risk of cardiovascular and alcoholic liver disease, thus suggesting that plasma YKL-40 does not play a causal role in the development of these diseases. Despite this, plasma YKL-40 levels may play a role in disease progression after diagnosis, and inhibition of YKL-40 activity might be a novel therapy in some cardiovascular and liver diseases.

Clinical and radiographic outcome of a treat-to-target strategy using methotrexate and intra-articular glucocorticoids with or without adalimumab induction: a 2-year investigator-initiated, double-blinded, randomised, controlled trial (OPERA).

OBJECTIVES: To study clinical and radiographic outcomes after withdrawing 1 year's adalimumab induction therapy for early rheumatoid arthritis (eRA) added to a methotrexate and intra-articular triamcinolone hexacetonide treat-to-target strategy (NCT00660647). METHODS: Disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD)-naive patients with eRA started methotrexate (20 mg/week) and intra-articular triamcinolone (20 mg/ml) for 2 years. In addition, they were randomised to receive placebo adalimumab (DMARD group, n=91) or adalimumab (40 mg/every other week) (DMARD+adalimumab group, n=89) during the first year. Sulfasalazine and hydroxychloroquine were added if disease activity persisted after 3 months. During year 2, synthetic DMARDs continued. Adalimumab was (re)initiated if active disease reoccurred. Clinical response, remission, disability, quality of life and radiographic changes were assessed. RESULTS: One year after adalimumab withdrawal, treatment profiles and clinical responses did not differ between groups. In the DMARD/DMARD+adalimumab groups, the median 2-year methotrexate dose was 20/20 mg/week (p=0.45), triple DMARD therapy had been initiated in 33/27 patients (p=0.49), adalimumab was (re)initiated in 12/12 patients and cumulative triamcinolone dose was 160/120 mg (p=0.15). The treatment target (disease activity score, 4 variables, C-reactive protein (DAS28CRP) ≤3.2 or DAS28>3.2 without swollen joints) was achieved at all visits in ≥85% of patients in year 2; remission rates were DAS28CRP<2.6:69%/66%; Clinical Disease Activity Index ≤2.8:55%/57%; Simplified Disease Activity Index <3.3:54%/49%; American College of Rheumatology/European League against Rheumatism (28 joints):44%/45% (p=0.66-1.00). Radiographic progression (Δtotal Sharp score/year) was similar 1.31/0.53 (p=0.12). Erosive progression (Δerosion score (ES)/year) was year 1:0.57/0.06 (p=0.02); year 2:0.38/0.05 (p=0.005). Proportion of patients without erosive progression (ΔES≤0) was year 1: 59%/76% (p=0.03); year 2:64%/79% (p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: An aggressive triamcinolone and synthetic DMARD treat-to-target strategy in eRA provided excellent 2-year clinical and radiographic disease control independent of adalimumab induction therapy. ES progression was slightly less during and following adalimumab induction therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT00660647.

Prediction of treatment response to adalimumab: a double-blind placebo-controlled study of circulating microRNA in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis.

At least 30% of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) do not respond to biologic agents, which emphasizes the need of predictive biomarkers. We aimed to identify microRNAs (miRNAs) predictive of response to adalimumab in 180 treatment-naïve RA patients enrolled in the OPtimized treatment algorithm for patients with early RA (OPERA) Study, an investigator-initiated, prospective, double-blind placebo-controlled study. Patients were randomized to adalimumab 40 mg (n=89) or placebo-adalimumab (n=91) subcutaneously in combination with methotrexate. Expressions of 377 miRNAs were determined using TaqMan Human MicroRNA LDA, A Card v2.0 (Applied Biosystems). Associations between miRNAs and treatment response were tested using interaction analyses. MiRNAs with a P-value <0.05 using three different normalizations were included in a multivariate model. After backwards elimination, the combination of low expression of miR-22 and high expression of miR-886.3p was associated with EULAR good response. Future studies to assess the utility of these miRNAs as predictive biomarkers are needed.

Primary tumor location and bevacizumab effectiveness in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: There is an unmet need for predictive markers for the antiangiogenic agent bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We aimed to assess whether the location of the primary tumor is associated with bevacizumab effectiveness when combined with capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPEOX) in the first-line treatment of patients with mCRC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A cohort of 667 consecutive patients with mCRC from the general community treated from 2006 to 2011 with CAPEOX and bevacizumab as standard first-line therapy was compared with a cohort of 213 patients treated with CAPEOX from 2003 to 2006, before bevacizumab was approved. Main outcome measures were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Differences in outcome were tested using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests, and multivariate analyses were carried out using Cox Proportional Hazards models. RESULTS: Patients treated with CAPEOX and bevacizumab with primary tumors originating in the sigmoid colon and rectum had a significantly better outcome than patients with primary tumors originating from the cecum to the descending colon, both for PFS (median PFS 9.3 versus 7.2 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.82) and for OS (median OS 23.5 versus 13.0 months; HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.38-0.57). This difference was confirmed in multivariate analyses after adjustment for other potentially prognostic factors. For patients treated with CAPEOX, there was no association between primary tumor location and outcome, neither in unadjusted nor adjusted analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of bevacizumab to CAPEOX in first-line treatment of patients with mCRC may primarily benefit patients with primary tumors originating in the rectum and sigmoid colon. This hypothesis needs to be validated in data from completed randomized trials. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFICATION NUMBER: NCT00212615.

Plasma YKL-40: a potential biomarker for psoriatic arthritis?

BACKGROUND: Plasma YKL-40 is an inflammatory biomarker. No useful biomarker exists in patients with psoriasis or psoriatic arthritis. OBJECTIVE: To measure YKL-40 and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) in patients with psoriasis or psoriatic arthritis before and during treatment. METHODS: In 48 patients with psoriasis, we measured YKL-40, hs-CRP and Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) at inclusion and in a subgroup of 14 patients, we repeated the measurements after four to six weeks of methotrexate treatment. In 42 patients with psoriatic arthritis, we measured YKL-40 and hs-CRP at inclusion and during 48 weeks of adalimumab treatment. The patients with psoriatic arthritis were divided into responders and non-responders. RESULTS: In patients with psoriasis, the baseline median PASI score was 10.8 and baseline YKL-40 was 45 µg/L. Seventeen per cent had elevated plasma YKL-40 compared with healthy subjects. Baseline PASI and YKL-40 were not correlated (rho = 0.14, P = 0.347) and YKL-40 and hs-CRP remained unchanged after treatment. In patients with psoriatic arthritis, the median pretreatment YKL-40 was 112 µg/L and 43% had elevated YKL-40. YKL-40 decreased in 33 patients who responded to adalimumab (from 112 µg/L to 68 at 48 weeks, P = 0.007). Hs-CRP decreased (from 4.65 mg/L to 0.91, P = 0.013) in the responders. In the non-responders (n = 9), YKL-40 and hs-CRP remained unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: YKL-40 is elevated in many patients with psoriatic arthritis, but not in patients with psoriasis. YKL-40 decreased in patients with psoriatic arthritis who responded to treatment. YKL-40 may be a useful biomarker to monitor the effect of treatment with tumour necrosis factor-α inhibitors in patients with psoriatic arthritis.

The inflammatory biomarker YKL-40 at admission is a strong predictor of overall mortality.

OBJECTIVES: YKL-40 is an inflammatory biomarker associated with disease activity and mortality in patients with diseases characterized by inflammation and tissue remodelling. The aim of this study was to describe the prognostic value of YKL-40 in an unselected patient population. DESIGN: In consecutive patients admitted to hospital during a 1-year period, blood was collected and information regarding final diagnosis and mortality was collected. Median follow-up time was 11.5 years. SETTING: District hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark. PATIENTS: A total of 1407 patients >40 years of age were admitted acutely. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All-cause mortality. RESULTS: Median YKL-40 was increased in patients (157 µg L(-1) , range 13-7704 µg L(-1) ) compared to healthy controls (40 µg L(-1) , range 29-58 µg L(-1) ; P < 0.001). Patients with YKL-40 in the highest quartile had a hazard ratio (HR) of 7.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.2-12.0] for all-cause mortality in the first year and 3.4 (95% CI 2.8-4.2) in the total study period, compared to those in the lowest quartile (HR = 1). The HR for death for all patients with YKL-40 above the normal age-corrected 95th percentile was 2.1 (95% CI 1.6-2.7) after 1 year and 1.5 (95% CI 1.3-1.7) during the total study period, compared to patients with YKL-40 below the age-corrected 95th percentile. The results of multivariable analysis showed that YKL-40 was an independent biomarker of mortality; this was most significant in the first year. YKL-40 was a marker of prognosis in all disease categories. The HR for death was increased in patients with YKL-40 above the normal age-corrected 95th percentile in healthy subjects independent of type of disease (all P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The level of YKL-40 at admission is a strong predictor of overall mortality, independent of diagnosis and could be useful as a biomarker in the acute evaluation of all patients.

Cancer risk by combined levels of YKL-40 and C-reactive protein in the general population.

BACKGROUND: YKL-40 and C-reactive protein (CRP) are biomarkers that may reflect cancer-related subclinical inflammation. We assessed elevated YKL-40 and CRP levels as combined risk predictors for cancer. METHODS: We measured plasma YKL-40 and CRP at baseline in 8706 individuals from the Danish general population. RESULTS: Hazard ratio (HR) of gastrointestinal cancer for a doubling of YKL-40 levels was 1.37 (95% CI: 1.17-1.61) and indifferent to adjustment for CRP levels. Hazard ratio of lung cancer for a doubling of CRP levels was 1.35 (1.17-1.56) and indifferent to adjustment for YKL-40 levels. Compared to individuals with both low CRP (<1.7 mg l(-1)) and YKL-40 (<154 µg l(-1)), individuals with high YKL-40 but low CRP had an HR of gastrointestinal cancer of 3.36 (1.70-6.64), whereas individuals with high CRP but low YKL-40 had an HR of lung cancer of 2.19 (1.24-3.87). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.68 for the ability of YKL-40 to predict gastrointestinal cancer and 0.67 for the ability of CRP to predict lung cancer. CONCLUSION: Elevated YKL-40 levels are associated with increased risk of gastrointestinal cancer, independently of CRP levels, whereas elevated CRP levels are associated with increased risk of lung cancer, independently of YKL-40 levels.

High serum YKL-40 level in a cohort of octogenarians is associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality.

YKL-40 is secreted by macrophages, neutrophils, chondrocytes, endothelial-, vascular smooth muscle- and cancer cells. Interleukin (IL)-6 stimulates YKL-40 production in human in vivo studies. High serum YKL-40 is associated with poor prognosis in patients with inflammatory diseases and cancer. We studied whether serum YKL-40 was associated with systemic low-level inflammation, an immune risk phenotype, and mortality in relatively healthy 80-year old humans. Serum YKL-40, IL-6 and tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) in octogenarians (n = 151) and serum YKL-40 in 18-30-year-olds (n = 89). Fifty-one of the octogenarians died during the 6-year follow-up. Serum YKL-40 in octogenarians was higher compared to the level in young people (median 116 versus 31 microg/l, P < 0.0005). Serum YKL-40 correlated with serum IL-6 in elderly women (Spearman's rho = 0.30, P = 0.009) and men (rho = 0.25, P = 0.003), but only with serum TNF-alpha (rho = 0.23, P = 0.05) and C-reactive protein (CRP) (rho = 0.57, P < 0.0005) among the elderly women. In addition, high serum level of YKL-40 was associated with a low CD4 : CD8 cell ratio. Univariate analysis of serum YKL-40 (logarithmically transformed and divided by tertiles) showed significant association with all-cause mortality [tertile 3: hazard ratio (HR) = 2.38, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-4.78, P = 0.02]. The effect persisted after adjusting for potential confounders (sex, smoking, body mass index, chronic disease and anti-inflammatory medicine). These results suggest that serum YKL-40 is a prognostic and sensitive biomarker of all-cause mortality in octogenarians.